60% of young people didn’t vote in the 2011 election.
The available stats tell us that 42% of 18 – 24 year olds didn’t vote in the last election. However, we are revealing figures that illustrate this number may be under representing the problem, by almost half. Our figures tell us that close to 60% of 18 – 24 year olds didn’t vote in the 2011 election, and this illustrates a huge decline in young voter turnout.
18-24 year old voter turn out 1996
18-24 year old voter turn out 2011
At this rate of decline, within three electoral cycles, we’d have less than 10% of young people participating in our democracy.
The long term trend from 1996 to 2011 shows that every year 4% fewer young people have voted. If this trend continues, only just over a third of young people will vote this election.
The rate of decline between the 2008 and 2011 elections was closer to 9%. At this rate of decline, within three electoral cycles, we’d have less than 10% of young people participating in our democracy.
Do young people just not care anymore?
The Virgin Voter Collective’s goal is to reverse the decline for 18 – 24 year olds.
To do this we need to get an extra 18,000 people between 18 – 24 to vote. That’s just 4% of the total eligible.
Do you live in a red zone?
We’ve identified 9 mainly inner city suburbs as Red Zone areas (electorates) that have less than 60% of the eligible voting population 18-24 enrolled* and categorised the rest of the country into Amber and Green Zones.
Where did this information come from?
The findings and data the VVC site has been sourced through the work of Professor Jack Vowles of Victoria University comparing a statistically significant sample size of actual (1) raw electoral roll data and checked against actual marked rolls.
- As this data came from actual results and not surveys it is almost entirely accurate excepting for a minor inaccuracy allowance to exclusion of Special Votes. (2)
Source of the 42% is the Statistics New Zealand “Findings from New Zealand General Social Survey, 2011”. (3)
- These results are from surveys conducted by Statistics New Zealand. We suspect these surveys use landlines and traditional means that largely exclude the channels the average 18 – 24 year old use or have access to. If Statistics New Zealand may not only be trying to survey people on landlines they could also be trying face to face. However their survey only had a 78% response rate – and Prof Jack Vowels thought was that those 22% of people who possibly didn’t respond and therefore participate in their survey invitations, are probably the same people who don’t vote and/or are young!
The VVC has analysed statistics sourced from the electoral roll and other data in the country to extract the current enrolment statistics electorate by electorate for 18 – 24 year olds across the country. We have established enrolment figures as a percentage of the total number of eligible 18 – 24 year olds in the electorate. (4)